John O'Sullivan: Is Bush Really Wimping Out on Iraq? - "There is one overwhelming reason why Bush will invade Iraq in the next year or so: He will not be reelected if Saddam Hussein is still ruling in Baghdad in 2004. That prediction may sound foolhardy when the president's ratings still hover above 70 percent. But the domestic side of the Bush presidency is going badly — especially from the standpoint of his conservative base."